NHS Waiting List Estimation Tool

Calculate the waiting list in your hospital based on NHS data

In order to plan for the upcoming months, we have built a tool based on NHS data to estimate how surgery waiting lists might develop in different scenarios. To provide a good idea even for individuals, the estimate can be broken down not only nationally but even by hospital and speciality.

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News Updates

Methodology

About Medbelle

Choose a scenario (and breakdown)

NHS Capacity

in comparison to 2019

jan

2021

feb

2021

mar

2021

apr

2021

may

2021

jun

2021

jul

2021

aug

2021

sep

2021

oct

2021

nov

2021

dec

2021
Hospital Capacity
Non-Admission Capacity
You can do a quick estimation for a hospital and speciality of your choice

Waiting list Estimation

Metric

january

2021

february

2021

march

2021

april

2021

may

2021

june

2021

july

2021

august

2021

september

2021

october

2021

november

2021

december

2021
New Non-Covid19 Patients
1,747,013
1,608,564
1,224,810
496,020
628,315
942,917
1,182,821
1,118,376
1,338,443
1,399,457
1,353,340
1,353,340
Inpatients treated (Hospital)
306,602
287,456
187,991
25,064
13,753
23,764
71,848
125,388
168,685
187,022
179,219
179,219
Outpatients treated (Not in Hospital)
1,439,662
1,328,575
743,610
130,962
222,398
434,967
857,771
1,021,588
1,136,810
1,127,048
1,033,333
1,016,384
Patients on the Waitlist
4,480,260
4,472,793
4,766,002
5,105,997
5,498,161
5,982,348
6,235,550
6,206,950
6,239,898
6,325,285
6,466,073
6,623,809

Scenarios

  • Reduced Capacity - no second peak: this assumes that the NHS will be able to operate at 80% capacity from the end of July when we are out of the current COVID peak, but takes into account potential factors such as slower treatment rate as a result of increased hygiene practices in between patients surgery; the fact that the NHS will need to reserve some beds for potential COVID patients; and the possibility of NHS staff burnout, resulting in fewer doctors operating.
  • Limited Capacity - no second peak: this assumes that the NHS will be able to operate at 50% capacity from the end of July when we are out of the current COVID peak, but takes into account potential factors such as slower treatment rate as a result of increased hygiene practices in between patients surgery; the fact that the NHS will need to reserve some beds for potential COVID patients; and the possibility of NHS staff burnout, resulting in fewer doctors operating.
  • Reduced Capacity- second peak: this demonstrates how the NHS capacity will be affected by a second peak in September.
  • Full capacity - this scenario acts as a comparison to how the NHS would operate in normal circumstances, not impacted by COVID.

Make the most out of the numbers on this report

  • The patients on the waiting list are currently waiting for some kind of next step (i.e. seeing a specialist, diagnostic imaging, or treatment). The more patients that are on the waiting list, the longer the average wait time will be.
  • Depending on the capacity of the NHS the number of patients being treated in hospitals varies. You can see how many patients might be treated each month and you can change the capacity to see how a best case, medium case, and worst-case scenario may affect this number. Additionally Patients are going to wait longer as fewer treatments can be done.
  • Change the speciality in the box above the graph in order to see how the situation is changing for particular specialities.
  • Select a hospital in the box above the graph in order to see how the situation is developing in this hospital.

Additional Information

  • For additional information about this tool, Medbelle or to give feedback, please see ourWaiting List Estimation Information section.
  • Please share this information with anybody who is currently waiting on NHS services or maybe soon needing elective surgery.
  • In case you would like information about private treatment options (availability, cost, conditions, etc.), please contact us through our Homepage, send us an Email or call us at 020 3411 9171.

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