NHS Waiting List Estimation Tool

Calculate the waiting list in your hospital based on NHS data

In order to plan for the upcoming months, we have built a tool based on NHS data to estimate how surgery waiting lists might develop in different scenarios. To provide a good idea even for individuals, the estimate can be broken down not only nationally but even by hospital and speciality.

  • Why we built this tool

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    On March 15, the NHS announced that all non-urgent elective surgeries would be postponed indefinitely, at which time around 4.4 million patients were awaiting treatments or a treatment plan. Managing this situation moving forward will prove very challenging for the entire healthcare industry.

    In order to plan for the upcoming months, we set to work on building a tool that would allow us to estimate how long surgery waiting lists might be for Medbelle patients. It soon became apparent though that patients all over the UK were also struggling to get a diagnosis and accurate timeframes for treatment. We knew a tool such as ours would be of interest to patients & healthcare providers so decided to make it available to everybody.

    The current situation has, unfortunately, left many patients with little or no information about how long they may be waiting for surgery which makes it difficult to plan appropriately. We wanted to offer some tools to help every patient who finds themself facing an extended wait time.

  • Resources while waiting

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    Like everybody else, patients and providers were surprised by the extended delay. While the planned treatment would be the best option in a normal situation, a patient may need alternative treatments to get through an extended wait. So we reached out to physiotherapists and GPs and organised webinars to address, for example, “do-at-home” physio exercises for orthopaedic patients and tips for pain management.

  • News Updates

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    We monitor the situation closely and provide regular updates on the situation to patients through email.

  • Methodology

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    Our waiting list estimations are based on official, historical NHS data (2019) with calculated adjustments to account for the changed capacity of the NHS since the crisis started to take effect in February 2020. This yields a rough estimation of the current waiting list times based on how strained the healthcare system is in your region for your condition. Waiting list times may vary widely depending on the patient, the condition, and the available capacity of the local setting. We want to emphasise that these are only estimations and not fixed time frames.

    The waiting list times provided by the tool are aimed at providing an ‘estimation’ so that patients can better plan their treatment which we feel is preferable to having no timeframe at all. Besides the decision to “keep waiting on the NHS” or “go private”, you may be faced with other decisions such as further physiotherapy, adaptations to pain medication, and anything else relevant when wait times are no longer weeks but more likely months.

    At Medbelle we strive to bring transparency and ease to the healthcare industry. By providing this waiting list estimation tool, we hope to bring a topic that might otherwise be exclusive to experts to the general public as a starting point for discussion.

    If you are a provider: Please get in touch with us should you want to share any information, feedback or wish to work with Medbelle wait-time-in@medbelle.com

    If you are interested in our methodology please head to our Methodology section.

  • About Medbelle

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    doctors - mission

    Medbelle provides online access to private healthcare in the UK. We focus on cosmetic and orthopaedic surgery for self-pay patients. You can read more about us and the services we offer here. Like many businesses, we are in the process of adapting to the new situation. The waiting list estimation tool was started internally in order to help us plan for the near future, we then realised that this could help others to plan for their future too.

Choose a scenario (and breakdown)

NHS Capacity
in comparison to 2019
Jan
2020
Feb
2020
Mar
2020
Apr
2020
May
2020
Jun
2020
Jul
2020
Aug
2020
Sep
2020
Oct
2020
Nov
2020
Dec
2020
Hospital Capacity
Non-Admission Capacity
Choose a scenario

You can do a quick estimation for a hospital and speciality of your choice

Calculate

Waiting list Estimation

Metric
Jan
2020
Feb
2020
Mar
2020
Apr
2020
May
2020
Jun
2020
Jul
2020
Aug
2020
Sep
2020
Oct
2020
Nov
2020
Dec
2020
New Non-Covid19 Patients
1,800,389
1,644,131
1,747,038
1,661,737
1,761,403
1,647,201
1,808,020
1,582,750
1,643,644
1,822,290
1,666,115
1,468,214
Inpatients treated (Hospital)
318,642
285,573
276,215
168,850
74,289
72,618
157,832
221,280
231,719
255,650
243,743
203,642
Outpatients treated (Not in Hospital)
1,502,507
1,329,595
1,375,905
1,012,523
775,544
683,127
1,029,311
1,207,534
1,227,595
1,379,468
1,196,924
1,093,603
Patients on the Waitlist
4,414,645
4,443,608
4,538,526
5,018,890
5,930,461
6,821,917
7,442,794
7,596,731
7,781,061
7,968,233
8,193,681
8,364,651

Estimating waiting list...

No results found using the selected criteria.

Please select a different Hospital or Speciality or contact wait-time-in@medbelle.com for feedback or more details.

Scenarios

Make the most out of the numbers on this report

Additional Information