NHS Waiting List Estimation Tool

Calculate the waiting list in your hospital based on NHS data

In order to plan for the upcoming months, we have built a tool based on NHS data to estimate how surgery waiting lists might develop in different scenarios. To provide a good idea even for individuals, the estimate can be broken down not only nationally but even by hospital and speciality.

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Methodology

About Medbelle

Choose a scenario (and breakdown)

NHS Capacity

in comparison to 2019

jan

2020

feb

2020

mar

2020

apr

2020

may

2020

jun

2020

jul

2020

aug

2020

sep

2020

oct

2020

nov

2020

dec

2020
Hospital Capacity
Non-Admission Capacity
You can do a quick estimation for a hospital and speciality of your choice

Waiting list Estimation

Metric

january

2020

february

2020

march

2020

april

2020

may

2020

june

2020

july

2020

august

2020

september

2020

october

2020

november

2020

december

2020
New Non-Covid19 Patients
1,800,389
1,644,131
1,747,038
1,661,737
1,761,403
1,647,201
1,808,020
1,582,750
1,643,644
1,822,290
1,666,115
1,468,214
Inpatients treated (Hospital)
318,642
285,573
276,215
168,850
74,289
72,618
157,832
221,280
231,719
255,650
243,743
203,642
Outpatients treated (Not in Hospital)
1,502,507
1,329,595
1,375,905
1,012,523
775,544
683,127
1,029,311
1,207,534
1,227,595
1,379,468
1,196,924
1,093,603
Patients on the Waitlist
4,414,645
4,443,608
4,538,526
5,018,890
5,930,461
6,821,917
7,442,794
7,596,731
7,781,061
7,968,233
8,193,681
8,364,651

Scenarios

  • Reduced Capacity - no second peak: this assumes that the NHS will be able to operate at 80% capacity from the end of July when we are out of the current COVID peak, but takes into account potential factors such as slower treatment rate as a result of increased hygiene practices in between patients surgery; the fact that the NHS will need to reserve some beds for potential COVID patients; and the possibility of NHS staff burnout, resulting in fewer doctors operating.
  • Limited Capacity - no second peak: this assumes that the NHS will be able to operate at 50% capacity from the end of July when we are out of the current COVID peak, but takes into account potential factors such as slower treatment rate as a result of increased hygiene practices in between patients surgery; the fact that the NHS will need to reserve some beds for potential COVID patients; and the possibility of NHS staff burnout, resulting in fewer doctors operating.
  • Reduced Capacity- second peak: this demonstrates how the NHS capacity will be affected by a second peak in September.
  • Full capacity - this scenario acts as a comparison to how the NHS would operate in normal circumstances, not impacted by COVID.

Make the most out of the numbers on this report

  • The patients on the waiting list are currently waiting for some kind of next step (i.e. seeing a specialist, diagnostic imaging, or treatment). The more patients that are on the waiting list, the longer the average wait time will be.
  • Depending on the capacity of the NHS the number of patients being treated in hospitals varies. You can see how many patients might be treated each month and you can change the capacity to see how a best case, medium case, and worst-case scenario may affect this number. Additionally Patients are going to wait longer as fewer treatments can be done.
  • Change the speciality in the box above the graph in order to see how the situation is changing for particular specialities.
  • Select a hospital in the box above the graph in order to see how the situation is developing in this hospital.

Additional Information

  • For additional information about this tool, Medbelle or to give feedback, please see our Waiting List Estimation Information section.
  • Please share this information with anybody who is currently waiting on NHS services or maybe soon needing elective surgery.
  • In case you would like information about private treatment options (availability, cost, conditions, etc.), please contact us through our Homepage, send us an Email or call us at 020 3411 9171.